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The word that put at stake $200 million

A powerful example of how misunderstandings can arise in the absence of clear definitions.

A single word brought ripe disruption to one of the world’s largest prediction markets.

People placed bets on whether Zelensky, the Ukrainian president, would be seen wearing a suit. He is known for not wearing formal attire. Zelensky’s home country is defending itself against Russia, so I understand if styling isn’t top of mind.

Players spent more than $200 million betting on the outcome. Would Zelensky wear a suit before July?

Patrick van Katwijk/Getty Images

After Zelensky was seen at the NATO conference (photo above), the market was initially resolved as “yes.”

The decision sparked many debates online about whether this attire is a suit. Those who bet on “no” objected and escalated the bet to a third-party dispute resolution system.

Many debated the definition of a suit.

The creator of the attire was asked to give a verdict. Is it a suit?

A men’s fashion industry commentator was asked to weigh in. “Both a suit and not a suit,” he said.

There were controversies around the dispute system itself, which is said to be broken, manipulative, and undermining factual correctness.

Regardless of whether we think it’s a suit or not, I found the $200 million controversy to be a powerful example of how misunderstandings can arise in the absence of clear definitions and shared understanding.

Before you say “Delfina, we’re a small company, we’re not operating at this scale” and dismiss this as irrelevant because you’re at a smaller company, consider that the principle is the same even when you don’t have $200 million at stake: How can you identify and prevent important terminology from turning into a costly mistake?

Reviewing your main offerings’ copy every few months ensures that your clients see up-to-date, accurate information. How do you decide what to review? 👇

Identify the most impactful touchpoints of your product area. Factors to consider include:

Go deeper to identify additional critical interaction points:

  • What are your cross-functional partners saying?
  • Have your customer service representatives shared any concerns or feedback?
  • What are your users talking about in Reddit?
  • What are the emotional states of the user as they interact with your product?
  • Are you paying attention to temporal landmarks in the product, i.e., the fact that our memory of an experience is largely shaped by how it ends?

The process of building a business glossary can help you identify potentially costly terminology and avoid misunderstandings by clarifying ambiguous language across internal teams and user interfaces.

Here’s a quick intro into business glossaries 👇

The connections between words and costs aren’t always obvious. But they’re present and waiting to be found, even if they’re not staring us in the face as hard as $200 million. Important connections are detectable through technical analysis, conversations with other people, and general openness.

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